British media reported that if Congress succeeded in preventing the non-agreement of the Brexit bill, it would dissolve the parliament’s early election. Although Prime Minister Johnson said that he does not want to be elected in advance, the election has become a national discussion and focus. There is only one week left before Congress is adjourned again. What will happen to the British Parliament?
September 3: Motion Bill
The British Parliament will resume on September 3, today. According to the Labor Party’s earlier notice, they will join with some Conservative Party members to propose a bill to prevent Britain from leaving the European Union on October 31 without an agreement. The bill will be conducted in the form of “SO24”, or “Standing Order 24”, to significantly shorten the general debate time and allow the motion to enter the voting process as soon as possible.
The bill needs to be approved by the next member, John Bercow, and is strongly supported by members of Congress. If all goes well, you will be able to put the vote on the agenda and make a quick vote on September 4.
September 4th: The House of Commons votes
On September 4, the House of Commons will have access to the voting process of the bill. Voting needs to be done several times, but the theory can be completed in one day.
Since there is no current bill what the MPs will raise, it is unknown how the opponents will block the passage of the bill. However, it is generally believed that the content of the bill requires the Johnson Administration to seek the extension of the Brexit time to the EU without agreement.
September 5th: Key Day of Destiny
On September 5, if the House of Commons successfully passed the bill, the bill will be submitted to the House of Lords for debate on this day. The time for the House of Lords debate is not as easy as the House of Representatives can control, but if all goes well, the vote can be held on the same day or until Monday, September 9.
Congress will not vote on Fridays, Saturdays and Sundays from the 6th to the 8th.
Johnson may hold an election early on this day to prevent the bill from passing through the announcement of the dissolution of the parliament. According to the UK’s Regular Congress Act (FTPA) passed in 2011, the dissolution of Congress requires two-thirds of the members to vote in favor.
The decision to decide whether the election is on the Labour Party, the Labour Party has 247 seats in the House of Commons. Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn has repeatedly called for an early election, so more than two-thirds of the support with the Conservative Party. But former Prime Minister Tony Blair is calling on Hallebin to stay in the Johnson trap because it is not good for the Labour Party to hold a general election. If the Conservative Party wins, it will continue to be Johnson’s prime minister, and it will only make the non-agreement of Brexit more likely.
So September 5 may be the most important day: if Johnson is dissolved and Congress is passed, the early election will happen. Otherwise, it depends on whether the House of Commons has passed the blockade of the hard Brexit bill and passed it to the House of Lords for debate. As long as the House of Lords passes the bill, it can be approved by the royal family as soon as possible on September 9.