Todd Bishop
After October 18 local time, US Vice President Mike Pence arrived in Ankara and reached a “cease agreement” with Turkish President Recep Erdogan. For the United States, which has been unable to return to the sky on the Syrian issue, it has saved some face. But this agreement to suspend the attack in Turkey is of limited significance.
From mid-October to the present. A fundamental shift has taken place in the Syrian front. In addition to Turkey’s occupation of parts of the region, starting from October 14, the US military stationed in cities in the northern Syrian region has abandoned the base and carried equipment quickly. Syrian military vehicles and Russian military personnel carrying the Russian flag passed by on the road.
At this point, analysts can conclude that the failure of Barack Obama, but pretend that there is no failure in the US Middle East layout is finally unsustainable at the end of the first term of Donald Trump. Vladimir Putin has won the Syrian battlefield for many years.
When the US House Speaker, Democrat Nancy Pelosi and others have repeatedly criticized the withdrawal of the US military and sent a signal that “the United States is no longer reliable” to the “American allies,” it was once packaged by the US media as “the United States.” The Kurds of the Allies also made a choice for their survival.
The Wall Street Journal and other media disclosed that Kurdish armed forces have reached an agreement with Russia to dissolve its “Democratic Army” and to include the “People’s Defence Force” (YPG), a basic force, in the “Fifth Assault Army” controlled by the Russian army. (also known as the “Fifth Army”).
In addition, the Russian, Kusse and Syrian parties also released the “Damascus recognition of Kurdish autonomy” and “Northern Syrian officials entering the Damascus government”. At this point, the long-rebellious Kurds quickly found their way to life.
At present, Turkish President Erdogan has planned to go to Russia on October 22, and Russia, Turkey and Syria also plan to hold a “security conference” in the near future. In addition, the Turkish and Syrian armed forces also formed a temporary ceasefire in Manbizi and Taylor Tamir in the northern Syrian battlefield. At one time, the cavity left by the United States after its withdrawal from Syria was quickly filled.
By the same token, as for the large-scale withdrawal of Afghanistan in mid-September, the United States has shown an untrustworthy attitude towards the Afghan authorities and the Taliban militants.
For the former, the United States once respected the Kabul government, which was strongly supported by the United States, and did not talk to the Taliban alone. As the Taliban continued to grow in recent years, the US government eventually turned to the Taliban. The two sides have held nine rounds of dialogue since the end of 2018. In the end, the United States will withdraw 5,400 people from five military bases within 135 days. The Taliban promised not to attack the United States and its allies based on Afghanistan.
As the agreement is also listed, the Afghan parties need to negotiate on their own to end the war that lasted for more than 18 years. Under the situation of imbalanced political and military power in Afghanistan, this shift in focus shows that the United States is eager to seek success in Afghanistan, trying to get out as soon as possible, but does not ask whether it will flood the sky after the withdrawal. Considering that the US has withdrawn a total of 160 million U.S. dollars in aid to Afghanistan in late September, the Kabul authorities have also seen Washington’s abandonment and betrayal.
Regrettably, when Kabul did not report on Trump’s “peace process,” the Taliban, who suddenly encountered negligence in the first half of September, felt that they seemed to be fooled by the United States.
Although US Defense Department officials have continued to send high-level delegations to Pakistan after mid-September to seek contacts with the Taliban, the Taliban delegation also met with US Special Representative Zalmay Khalilzad on October 3. But this one-hour conversation will not solve the problem right away.
The Taliban has sent a delegation to Beijing in late September and met with the Special Envoy of China’s Afghan Affairs. They specifically talked about the countermeasures after the United States canceled the negotiations. Obviously, the United States seems to have shown enough in this “empire cemetery”. The downturn.
Even so, there are still some observers who have expectations for the United States. The US House of Representatives passed the Hong Kong Bill of Rights and Democracy on October 16. In response, the Chinese Foreign Ministry responded with the words “will take strong counter-measures.” When the outside world still does not see Beijing’s next move and hopes to further understand the developments, perhaps observers can look around the frontiers from Syria to Afghanistan and get inspiration from the actual actions of the United States against other “allies.”
